All worked cases
Set a CAC ceiling for Bengaluru coffee
Bengaluru, Karnataka · Fictional practice case
The decision
A coffee subscription spends ₹1.5 lakh for 600 new customers. Each active customer contributes ₹110 a month. Expected active shares in months one to four are 100%, 75%, 55% and 45%.
Should the team scale the channel if its next cohort costs ₹300 per customer?
Worked solution
Reveal the visual and solution
- Use net new customers and one measurement window. CAC is ₹1.5 lakh ÷ 600 = ₹250.
- Undiscounted cohort contribution per initial customer is ₹110 × (1 + .75 + .55 + .45) = ₹302.50. The observed model has ₹52.50 headroom, falling to ₹2.50 at ₹300 CAC.
- Test marginal CAC in a capped budget experiment. Use returns-adjusted contribution and compare against a downside in survival before adding spend.